A way to challenge any useful voting left

Short of a month of the regional, the trend continues survey after survey: the PS remains the dominant force on the left and is at the same level of intent to vote than most lists, lack of reserve of votes in the second round. Decryption of each and other strategies to confirm or reverse this trend.

PS: local anchoring and useful vote. The Socialists have learned much from their defeat in the European elections in June. They had two successive strategies (the antisarkozysme and their proposals for Europe) and were inaudible. For the regional elections, they were also two axes of campaign, but which articulate more harmoniously. First claim their balance sheets at the head of the 20 regions they President (a for fee since axis in a recent survey TNS Sofres, 69 of voters were reported, satisfied with the results of their President of region) and of the other hand, present as "social shields" faced the "breaks" supposed policy of the President of the Republic. As the expression might be thinking of the "tax shield" despised by the left, the PS operates a speaking semantic shift of regions "walls" with the action of the Government. A more positive way to call the assent vote.

UMP: bet on a demobilization of the left. Marie-Luce Penchard sparked the uproar by declaring at a meeting have "want to serve as a population, guadeloupéenne population." These surprising remarks to a Minister of the Republic consumerism, reflect the attitude of the UMP candidate: a campaign centred on the local interests of the socioprofessional categories traditionally right to mobilize them and limit any national sanction vote. "I invite the French to pronounce on their region," said recently François Fillon reflecting the strategic shuffling of the leaders of the majority (campaign national or local). The topics that get angry (pensions, carbon tax) were carried over to the after-regional, while Nicolas Sarkozy has made announcements about the countryside. The majority seeks to demobilization of leftist voters by criticizing the "waste" in the management of the regions, highlighting the opposition division and assimilating any idea of a "counter-power" regional "a sterile refusal front." A way to challenge any useful voting left.

Europe Ecology: the narrow gauge. For environmentalists, find good positioning in this campaign is not easy. They must differentiate themselves Socialists while they participated in the management of all présidées regions by the Socialists, while securing their allies ex-futurs they will meet at the end of the first round of regional elections when the lists will be merged. Cécile Duflot and Greens, therefore "tacler" the Socialists, but not too much. "We want to influence policy on the merits", provides Jean-Louis Roumégas, spokesman for the Greens. "Copenhagen showed the failure of traditional policies," he continued. We use the win regional elections to change the policy and realize the ecological transformation of the economy.

FN: punish Sarkozy. The national Front, which wants to believe that the economic crisis and the debate over national identity handed it on the rails, on the antisarkozysme. Posing as the "single opposition party" and "the voice of the French people", the party does not have words for castigating the "treason" of Nicolas Sarkozy on immigration, security and employment. "It is the last opportunity before 2012 to send a message," insists Jean-Marie Le Pen. In the regions, candidates refer back to dos UMP and PS, "co-management" and put in the same bag d ' "UMPS.

Modem: proximity first. At the European, François Bayrou had relied on heads of list known and focused his campaign on criticism of Nicolas Sarkozy. Learning from failure, the centrist was this time selected "young and entrenched" candidates and regionalized campaign. The Modem, which claims the title of "the regionalist party of France", wants that area take care "of the life of the people." Let's start with the job. Before the election, François Bayrou attempt a "hit" to revive his party, the lowest in the polls "A campaign, he said, as in rugby: when you see a hole, you go inside."

Left of the left: stand without break. The left Front has two irons in the fire: while Jean-Luc Mélenchon denounces the Socialists, Marie - George Buffet household PS, with which it will have to negotiate at the end of the first round of squares of regional advisers. It is for him to take his distances with the PS without cutting bridges. An exercise difficult but, it seems, paying in the light of opinion polls. As to the NPA, who refuses to participate in all regional Executive, he chose to play solo, except in the Languedoc-Roussillon.

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